Heidfeld podium finish Willhill @6 stake 1/10 Italy gp

Well obviously people going nuts after Ferraris Turkey result
however in testing McLaren defeated them last week .
Reason is simple - this kind of track doesnt suit Ferrari F2007,
because is has long straights yes but slow chicanes .
When we compare tracks similar like Monza we see McLaren dominating,
and Heidfeld has outqualified Ferraris .
If Heidfeld gets 3rd place in quali he will also start from clean side and with BMW reliability he should do good in Italy

not much time to waste
lets be quick

FORGET IT NOW - also barri had his engine changed so basically correct odds

Button had his engine changed and will collect 10 places penalty and start from last place
bookies sleeping for now , 70% for Barri here

Europe GP
Hamilton not classified @5.25 Betway

AFTER race
lol wtf? Hamilton crashed out, then crane lifts him out , he gets unhooked and drives on . Even article says it was illegal
http://www.planet-f1.com/story/0,18954,3213_2614770,00.html

nice and fat overprice,
after Hamilton crashed today we saw from onboard camera that he
moved his legs frantically after crash ,

so I guess he got a nice shunt there and maybe ankle might be sprained,
after he got out the car he didnt want to walk and laid down and was later taken away by medical staff.

Even if he races he still might suffer problems from qualifying crash and price 5.25 looks just tasty

ferrari to collect constructors 2007 @ 3.00 Bodog

its not a secret that McLaren is fucked pretty badly now because of Stepneygate, italian papers say he might face 4 years prison for spionage for selling Ferrari info to Mclaren.
And Mclaren was in posession of Ferrari car details on a 780 page manual and Stepney sabotaged ferrari fuel tanks in Monaco GP by adding powder to tanks.
Both Stepney and Mike Coughlan were planning to go over to Honda b ut I guess that door is closed now

Ecclestone assured that drivers points wont be affected but McLaren if they fail on 26th july court will most likely face disqualification of 2007 points so a small punt on Ferrari looks nice here.

Kimi form getting better and no secret that Lewis has finished on points every race but now we know that he basically copies the setup from Alonso and he screwed up in UK GP where he went for different rear setup than Alonso

Jenson Button not classified@3.55 British GP 2007

Well after reading this

Button to skip second practice
06 July 2007

Jenson Button will not participate in today's second free practice session. The Honda driver will have to sit out the second 90-minute practice session due to back problems a Honda spokesperson said.

Silverstone is very bumpy track and not best for aching back , brings back memories of Heidfeld who had huge backpain in testing there few weeks ago

Qualifying H2H Barri - Button

Nice odds for Barri here @2.1,
Silverstone basically reminds Barca track where Barri had easy job with Button .
Even more lets look at history -Barri has raced in Silverstone 14 times and has outqualified his teammate in 11 occasions.
He outqualified good teammates like Michael Schumacher 4 times, Eddie Irvine, Johnny Herbert , Verstappen etc .
So looks like this track really suits him good

Nick NOT classified in France GP

Well Nick had massive backpain in Silverstone testing last week , he said he is ok when he arrived to Magny Cours

However today in free practice he only completed 18 laps and sat rest of session out ,
he was also seen visiting medical center many times .

Of course he might be benched and Vettel will get another driving chance , still some nice value here

Ralf Schumacher not to be classified @2.7 2 units USA GP

Ralf is really unlucky on that track,
of course his main races here were with Michelin tyres and Bridgestone might provide better grip.

Still he has 4 retirements and one 16th place,
and 2 massive crashes that might work him down mentally for sure.
Of course Ralf hit a point in Canada but that race was dominated not by Hamilton but by safety car mainly and tempo was low and still 12 cars finished only

Under 15.5 classified drivers@1.8 BWIN 2 units USA GP

(after race - unlucky here with Rosberg and Liuzzi retiring within 10% distance )
lets try another shot at under,
USA GP also has dubious history as car smasher, of course its not so tight as Montreal but still.
Last straight gives a lots of strain to engines with that full gas part + many crashes in start chicane and infield tricky also, many spins there.

Looking at history we see that only 2002 broke trend , other years avg 10-11 cars finished only (excluding 2005 farce)
Basically in 4 of 5 normal races there went under 15.5 finishers by a margin

Trulli to beat Ralf season H2H bet365 @1.66


UPDATED ( Ralf took a 17 mill eur paycut so that he could continue racing,
lets hope he ends up with a foot in mouth now in season 2007)

Well not much to say ,
speculations already that Ralf has been given 2 race ultimatum->CAN and USA GP otherwise he will close Toyota door from outside.
And who will possibly sign him then? I cant see a team hiring him for the money he wants, maybe if he takes a paycut and accepts a shitty team offer

What speaks for Trulli?, well clearly better qualifier, more stable than Ralf, can cope with Bridgestone tyres, monster in rain races.
Ralf maybe might chicken out in USA where in 2005 he had major crash, took like 10 min to get him out of the car .

Stories say Ralf might be replaced with Adrian Sutil from Spyker - why?
Well Sutil is german driver and Toyota needs a german driver for german market and with the money Ralf gets he clearly is massively overpaid IMO

Under15.5 classified drivers @1.9

Couldnt help to oversee that fat overprice

lets look at Canada history
last years minimum 6 cars didnt finish race, avg retirement rate is even 9.8 cars.
The average retirement rate in the last 5 years is 40% and over the last 10 years 45%.
Canada punishers errors hard as track is just nasty, no outrun zones , also many leaders crashing into wall of champions.
Looking at those numbers I guess 13-14 finishing cars is more realistic , although cars have become more reliable in 2007 season